BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Afton East Union

Class: 1A Class Rank: 132 Conference: (1-16) Overall: (3-18) Overall Strength =   22.81

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Away    W    29.86  74   56   1A  145 ( 1-20) Diagonal               11.39      6.61                      
  2 12/03/2004 Home    L * -15.71  17  105   2A   16 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley        -34.19 *  -53.81                      
  3 12/07/2004 Away    L *   6.01  47   77   2A  124 ( 7-15) Mount Ayr             -12.46    -17.54                      
  4 12/10/2004 Away    L *  18.26  61   77   1A  120 ( 9-14) Lenox                  -0.21    -15.79                      
  5 12/14/2004 Home    L *  27.40  42   48   2A  120 (10-12) Bedford                 8.93    -14.93                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    L *  30.15  45   58   2A  109 (10-11) Corydon Wayne          11.67    -24.67                      
  7 12/21/2004 Away    L *  16.63  32   91   2A   16 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley         -1.84 *  -57.16                      
  8 01/07/2005 Home    L *  20.59  52   74   2A  106 (12-10) Corning                 2.12    -24.12                      
  9 01/18/2005 Home    L *  27.67  54   59   2A  124 ( 7-15) Mount Ayr               9.20    -14.20                      
 10 01/20/2005 Home    L *  26.91  52   62   1A  106 ( 9-12) Southeast Warren        8.43    -18.43  was 01/14/05 now 01/20/05
 11 01/24/2005 Away    L    20.29  56   79   1A   96 (12-11) Earlham                 1.81    -24.81  was 01/04/05 now 01/25/05
 12 01/25/2005 Home    L *  -2.08  47   80   1A  120 ( 9-14) Lenox                 -20.56    -12.44                      
 13 01/28/2005 Away    L *   4.82  29   70   1A   91 (15- 8) Martensdale M-SM      -13.65 *  -27.35                      
 14 02/01/2005 Away    L *  30.75  46   52   2A  120 (10-12) Bedford                12.27    -18.27                      
 15 02/03/2005 Away    W    36.84  48   43   1A  124 (12-10) Murray                 18.37    -13.37  was 01/13/05 now 02/03/05
 16 02/04/2005 Home    L *  -3.04  39   79   2A  115 (10- 9) Truro Interstate-35   -21.51    -18.49                      
 17 02/08/2005 Away    L *  18.93  41   68   2A  106 (12-10) Corning                 0.46 *  -27.46                      
 18 02/10/2005 Away    L *  36.81  48   50   2A  114 ( 9-13) Pleasantville          18.34    -20.34  was 01/21/05 now 02/10/05
 19 02/11/2005 Home    W *  37.14  72   67   2A  121 (10-13) Leon Central Decatur   18.67    -13.67                      
 20 02/18/2005 Home    L    -1.76  30   80   1A   50 (22- 3) Orient-Macksburg      -20.23 *  -29.77                      
 21 02/21/2005 Home    L *  21.48  41   62   1A   91 (15- 8) Martensdale M-SM        3.00    -24.00                      
      Averages              18.47  46.3 68.4

Best game:   37.14 = 5 point win over Leon Central Decatur
Worst game: -15.71 = 88 point loss to Greenfield Nodaway Valley
Team stdev:  15.00